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Will the margin of victory for James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas be between 2% and 4%?

Yes 22.0%

Vol3.8K contracts

SnapshotOct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

Yes 22.0%

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Event

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Will the margin of victory for James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas be between 2% and 4%?

Part of: Texas Senate: margin of victory

YesYes Price

22.0¢

VolTotal Volume

3.8K contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC

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Will the margin of victory for James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas be between 2% and 4%?

Yes

22.0¢

Vol

3.8K contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes22.0¢

No78.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 22.0%. Snapshot Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the margin of victory for James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas be between 2% and 4%? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the margin of victory for James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by James Talarico minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind James Talarico if James Talarico wins, or the candidate that finishes first if James Talarico loses. If James Talarico wins, the margin will be positive; if James Talarico loses, the margin will be negative; if James Talarico ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If James Talarico runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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Resolution Info