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Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas be between 2% and 4%?

Yes 10.5%

Vol1.7K contracts

SnapshotOct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

Yes 10.5%

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Event

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Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas be between 2% and 4%?

Part of: Texas Senate: margin of victory

YesYes Price

10.5¢

VolTotal Volume

1.7K contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC

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Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas be between 2% and 4%?

Yes

10.5¢

Vol

1.7K contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes10.5¢

No89.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 10.5%. Snapshot Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas be between 2% and 4%? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 3, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ken Paxton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ken Paxton if Ken Paxton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ken Paxton loses. If Ken Paxton wins, the margin will be positive; if Ken Paxton loses, the margin will be negative; if Ken Paxton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ken Paxton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

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Resolution Info