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Will Jeffries get at least 249 votes on the first Speaker ballot?

Yes 60.0%

Vol0 contracts

SnapshotNov 8, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

Yes 60.0%

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Will Jeffries get at least 249 votes on the first Speaker ballot?

Part of: How many votes will Jeffries get on the first Speaker ballot?

YesYes Price

60.0¢

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May 2, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC

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Will Jeffries get at least 249 votes on the first Speaker ballot?

Yes

60.0¢

Vol

0 contracts

Outcomes

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Yes60.0¢

No40.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 60.0%. Snapshot Nov 8, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Jeffries get at least 249 votes on the first Speaker ballot? · Yes

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Rules and settlement

Listed close: May 2, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the number of votes cast for Hakeem Jeffries on the first roll call for Speaker of the House at the opening of the 120th Congress is at least 249 before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The first ballot is the first roll-call vote for Speaker at the opening of the 120th Congress. The count is the number of votes cast for Hakeem Jeffries on it, and 0 if no roll-call vote for Speaker is held before Feb 1, 2027. The following do NOT count: Votes cast for Hakeem Jeffries on a later ballot Votes recorded as Present or Not Voting, or cast for any other candidate The result is determined from the roll call record of the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives.

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