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Will the number of Republican Senators voting guilty on the first Senate vote on convicting Donald Trump on an article of impeachment be at least 15 before Jan 20, 2029?

Yes 12.0%

Vol1.7K contracts

SnapshotNov 8, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

Yes 12.0%

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Event

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MarketKALSHIactivePolitics

Will the number of Republican Senators voting guilty on the first Senate vote on convicting Donald Trump on an article of impeachment be at least 15 before Jan 20, 2029?

Part of: How many Senate Republicans will vote to convict Trump?

YesYes Price

12.0¢

VolTotal Volume

1.7K contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Apr 20, 2029, 2:00 PM UTC

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Will the number of Republican Senators voting guilty on the first Senate vote on convicting Donald Trump on an article of impeachment be at least 15 before Jan 20, 2029?

Yes

12.0¢

Vol

1.7K contracts

Outcomes

Trade

Yes12.0¢

No88.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 12.0%. Snapshot Nov 8, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the number of Republican Senators voting guilty on the first Senate vote on convicting Donald Trump on an article of impeachment be at least 15 before Jan 20, 2029? · Yes

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Rules and settlement

Listed close: Apr 20, 2029, 2:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If the number of Republican Senators voting guilty on the first Senate vote on convicting Donald Trump on an article of impeachment is at least 15 before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The first Senate roll-call vote after Issuance on whether Donald Trump is guilty or not guilty on an article of impeachment counts, whichever article is voted on first, and only Republican Senators voting guilty on that vote count. If no such vote occurs before Jan 20, 2029, the number is 0. A Senator is a Republican if the Senate lists them as a Republican on the day of the vote. Independent Senators do NOT count, even if they caucus with Republicans. The following do NOT count: The Senate votes of Feb 5, 2020 and Feb 13, 2021 A vote on a motion to dismiss, a point of order, or any other procedural question A vote on any later article, or in any later impeachment trial of Donald Trump Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the vote occurs.

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