Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.
If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within New York, NY before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within New York, NY, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.
The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within New York, NY may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.
Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:
Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of New York, NY
Waymo expands from adjacent areas into New York, NY limits
Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within New York, NY
Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in New York, NY
Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public
Examples that would resolve to No:
Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in New York, NY
Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in New York, NY
All Waymo vehicles in New York, NY have safety drivers
Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides
Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code
Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2028 Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
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