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Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Seattle, WA before Jan 1, 2028?

Yes 42.5%

Vol0 contracts

SnapshotOct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

Yes 42.5%

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Event

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Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Seattle, WA before Jan 1, 2028?

Part of: Where will Waymo operate before 2028?

YesYes Price

42.5¢

VolTotal Volume

0 contracts

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Ends

Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC

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Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Seattle, WA before Jan 1, 2028?

Yes

42.5¢

Vol

0 contracts

Outcomes

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Yes42.5¢

No57.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 42.5%. Snapshot Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Waymo operate ride-hailing in Seattle, WA before Jan 1, 2028? · Yes

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Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 8, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Seattle, WA before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Seattle, WA, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee. The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Seattle, WA may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Seattle, WA Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Seattle, WA limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Seattle, WA Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Seattle, WA Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public Examples that would resolve to No: Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in Seattle, WA Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in Seattle, WA All Waymo vehicles in Seattle, WA have safety drivers Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2028 Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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Resolution Info