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Will Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026?

Yes0%

Vol$0.00

Outcomes2

0%

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Will Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026?

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Will Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026?

Part of: Will Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026?

NoNo Price

100¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Jan 7, 2027

in 3 months

Trade on Kalshi

Will Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026?

Will Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026?

No

100¢

|

Vol

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Yes0.0¢

No100.0¢

Price History

Will Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

87 Days Left

January 07, 2027 • 3:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Will Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026?

Will Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

January 07, 2027

3:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

0%

Resolution Criteria

If, after this market is issued and before 12:00 AM EST on December 31, 2026, the 2026 named storm Isaias has an official National Hurricane Center track segment that intersects with or terminates within the defined Alabama boundary, where both consecutive advisories report sustained winds of at least 74 mph, the advisories are issued no more than 12 hours apart, and both contain latitude/longitude coordinates rounded to the nearest 0.1 degree, then the market resolves to Yes. A track segment is the straight line connecting the storm positions in two consecutive official National Hurricane Center public or forecast advisories. A segment qualifies if any part of that line passes through the defined region, or either coordinate point lies within it. The region is the Alabama feature (STATEFP 01, STUSPS AL) in the US Census Bureau 2025 cartographic boundary state shapefile at 1:500,000 scale: https://www2.census.gov/geo/tiger/GENZ2025/shp/cb2025usstate500k.zip . This is a track-intersection test; a coastal landfall in Alabama is not required. The named storm is Isaias in the 2026 season; the cutoff is the stated calendar date, not the end of the usual hurricane season. Unofficial coordinates and post-storm analyses do not establish a qualifying track segment, and revisions after expiration are disregarded. Trading closes December 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST. The latest expiration is January 7, 2027 at 10:00 AM EST; expiration may move earlier after a qualifying occurrence in accordance with Rule 7.2. Settlement is no later than the day after expiration unless the outcome is under review pursuant to Rule 7.1. The HURPATH outcome-review and indeterminacy provisions remain applicable. This market will close and expire early if a qualifying track intersection occurs, in accordance with Rule 7.2.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.