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Will Likud be a part of the next government in Israel?

Yes0%

Vol$0.00

Outcomes2

0%

TradeTrade on Kalshi

MarketKALSHIactive

Will Likud be a part of the next government in Israel?

MarketKALSHIactiveOther

Will Likud be a part of the next government in Israel?

Part of: Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?

NoNo Price

100¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Jan 1, 2028

in over 1 year

Trade on Kalshi

Will Likud be a part of the next government in Israel?

Will Likud be a part of the next government in Israel?

No

100¢

|

Vol

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Yes0.4¢

No99.6¢

Price History

Will Likud be a part of the next government in Israel?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

528 Days Left

January 01, 2028 • 3:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?

Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

January 01, 2028

3:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

0%

Resolution Criteria

If a coalition that includes Likud make up the next elected ruling government of Israel before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes. A party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government. This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances). Additionally, A “confidence and supply arrangement” (or any analogous agreement), where a party does not hold formal cabinet or ministerial positions but has publicly agreed, through a formal written agreement or a widely recognized, explicitly stated political deal, to support the government on key votes (e.g., votes of confidence, budget/finance bills) without formally joining the cabinet or government, may be included in the Payout Criterion if specified in parties (e.g. parties could take the form of “The Conservative Party and the Liberal Party” as well as “The Conservative Party with the support of the Greens”). If, following the election, a caretaker or interim government is appointed temporarily before the formal government formation, this caretaker period does not count for determining a given party’s status. This market will close and expire early if the government is officially formed.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.