If the margin of victory for Juliana Stratton in the 2026 Illinois Democratic Senate primary election falls between 15% and 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Juliana Stratton minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Juliana Stratton if Juliana Stratton wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Juliana Stratton loses. For raw votes: the total votes received by Juliana Stratton minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Juliana Stratton if Juliana Stratton wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Juliana Stratton loses. For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Juliana Stratton minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Juliana Stratton wins, or the electoral votes received by Juliana Stratton minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Juliana Stratton does not. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Juliana Stratton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Juliana Stratton will be summed. If Juliana Stratton wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Juliana Stratton loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Juliana Stratton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Juliana Stratton is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes). This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.