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Will Sinn Féin finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?

Yes7%+6.5%

Vol$0.00

Outcomes2

7%

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MarketKALSHIactive

Will Sinn Féin finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?

MarketKALSHIactiveOther

Will Sinn Féin finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?

Part of: Northern Ireland Assembly election: 2nd place

NoNo Price

94¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

May 5, 2028

in over 1 year

Trade on Kalshi

Will Sinn Féin finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?

Will Sinn Féin finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?

No

94¢

|

Vol

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Yes6.5¢

No93.5¢

Price History

Will Sinn Féin finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

570 Days Left

May 05, 2028 • 2:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Northern Ireland Assembly election: 2nd place

Northern Ireland Assembly election: 2nd place

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

May 05, 2028

2:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

0%

Resolution Criteria

If Sinn Féin finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order. The party awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats in the Northern Ireland Assembly, counting the members declared elected across the 18 constituencies in the Electoral Office for Northern Ireland's final certified results, resolves YES; every other listed party resolves NO Rank is NOT determined by first-preference votes or vote share. Where seat rank and vote-share rank differ, the certified seat allocation governs Resolution follows the final certified result, not the provisional count published during the count Only the next general election to the Assembly counts. Seats in the local council elections held the same day, and any by-election or later co-option, do NOT count Seats count for the party under whose name the member was elected. Later defections do not change the allocation If a party not listed on this event is awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats, every market on this event resolves NO In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on seats awarded. This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.