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Will National be a part of the next government in New Zealand?

Yes1%

Vol$0.00

Outcomes2

1%

TradeTrade on Kalshi

MarketKALSHIactive

Will National be a part of the next government in New Zealand?

MarketKALSHIactiveOther

Will National be a part of the next government in New Zealand?

Part of: Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand?

NoNo Price

99¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Mar 15, 2027

in 5 months

Trade on Kalshi

Will National be a part of the next government in New Zealand?

Will National be a part of the next government in New Zealand?

No

99¢

|

Vol

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Yes0.5¢

No99.5¢

Price History

Will National be a part of the next government in New Zealand?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

154 Days Left

March 15, 2027 • 2:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand?

Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

March 15, 2027

2:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

0%

Resolution Criteria

If a coalition that includes National makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes. A party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government. This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances). A party governing alone qualifies under this ministerial-position test. A confidence and supply arrangement (or any analogous agreement), where a party does not hold formal cabinet or ministerial positions but has publicly agreed, through a formal written agreement or a widely recognized, explicitly stated political deal, to support the government on key votes (e.g., votes of confidence, budget/finance bills) without formally joining the cabinet or government, counts only when expressly specified in the market’s party description. These individual-party descriptions do not specify such an arrangement, so confidence and supply without a qualifying ministerial position does not count. If, following the election, a caretaker or interim government is appointed temporarily before the formal government formation, this caretaker period does not count for determining a given party’s status. This market will close and expire early if the government is officially formed.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.