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5 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026

Yes0%

Vol$0.00

Outcomes2

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Event

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MarketKALSHIactiveOther

5 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026

Part of: Confirmed Irkutsk plague cases in Oct 2026?

NoNo Price

100¢

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 8, 2026

in 27 days

Trade on Kalshi

5 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026

100¢

Vol

$0.00

Outcomes

Trade

Yes0.0¢

No100.0¢

Price History

5 or more confirmed plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast before November 1, 2026

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

November 08, 2026

3:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

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Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

Resolution Criteria

If the total number of human plague cases reported in Irkutsk Oblast during 2026 is at least 5, then the market resolves to Yes. Cases are determined at 10:00 AM ET on the Expiration Date (November 8). Only cases that Rospotrebnadzor, Russia's federal public health agency, confirms after Issuance and before November 1, 2026 count. Cases newly reported during the window between November 1 and Expiration do not count, even if they are backdated to the specified time period. A case is a human infection with Yersinia pestis (plague in any form) in Irkutsk Oblast, including a posthumous confirmation, and each infected person counts once. Suspected cases, and illness described as pneumonia of undetermined etiology, do not count. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

27 Days Left

November 08, 2026 • 3:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Event Group

Confirmed Irkutsk plague cases in Oct 2026?

Event

Confirmed Irkutsk plague cases in Oct 2026?