If the margin of victory for Colin Allred in the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff falls within 10% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Colin Allred minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Colin Allred if Colin Allred wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Colin Allred loses. For raw votes: the total votes received by Colin Allred minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Colin Allred if Colin Allred wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Colin Allred loses. For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Colin Allred minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Colin Allred wins, or the electoral votes received by Colin Allred minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Colin Allred does not. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Colin Allred runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Colin Allred will be summed. If Colin Allred wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Colin Allred loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Colin Allred ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Colin Allred is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes). This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.