
100¢
$0.00
2
May 26, 2027
in about 1 year
100¢
$0.00
2
Will the margin of victory for Julie Johnson in the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff be between 5% and 10%?
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If the margin of victory for Julie Johnson in the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff falls within 5% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Julie Johnson minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julie Johnson if Julie Johnson wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Julie Johnson loses. For raw votes: the total votes received by Julie Johnson minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julie Johnson if Julie Johnson wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Julie Johnson loses. For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Julie Johnson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Julie Johnson wins, or the electoral votes received by Julie Johnson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Julie Johnson does not. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Julie Johnson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Julie Johnson will be summed. If Julie Johnson wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Julie Johnson loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Julie Johnson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Julie Johnson is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes). This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.
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