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Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of United States Department of the Air Force in Department of the Air Force v. Prutehi Guahan

Yes1%

Vol$0.00

Outcomes2

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Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of United States Department of the Air Force in Department of the Air Force v. Prutehi Guahan

Part of: Will SCOTUS bar the immediate NEPA challenge to the Air Force’s Guam hazardous-waste permit application?

NoNo Price

99¢

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

Outcomes

Ends

Aug 1, 2028

in almost 2 years

Trade on Kalshi

Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of United States Department of the Air Force in Department of the Air Force v. Prutehi Guahan

99¢

Vol

$0.00

Outcomes

Trade

Yes0.8¢

No99.2¢

Price History

Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of United States Department of the Air Force in Department of the Air Force v. Prutehi Guahan

No historical data available

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Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

August 01, 2028

2:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

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Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

Resolution Criteria

If the Supreme Court, in Department of the Air Force v. Prutehi Guahan, rules a federal RCRA permit-renewal application is not final agency action immediately reviewable under the Administrative Procedure Act, or that the federal government need not complete NEPA review before submitting such an application, then the market resolves to Yes. The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled, in Department of the Air Force v. Prutehi Guahan, either that the federal government’s submission of a RCRA permit-renewal application to a state or territorial regulator is not “final agency action” immediately reviewable under the Administrative Procedure Act, or that the federal government is not required to comply with NEPA’s general environmental-review procedures before submitting a permit-renewal application under RCRA. A merits holding establishing either proposition resolves the market to Yes, whether or not the Court reaches the other question. The market resolves to No if the Court establishes neither proposition. If the case is dismissed as improvidently granted, dismissed, or remanded or otherwise disposed of without a merits holding establishing either proposition before August 1, 2028, the market resolves to No. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

659 Days Left

August 01, 2028 • 2:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Event Group

Will SCOTUS bar the immediate NEPA challenge to the Air Force’s Guam hazardous-waste permit application?

Event

Will SCOTUS bar the immediate NEPA challenge to the Air Force’s Guam hazardous-waste permit application?