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Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Department of Homeland Security in Department of Homeland Security v. D.V.D.

Yes1%

Vol$0.00

Outcomes2

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Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Department of Homeland Security in Department of Homeland Security v. D.V.D.

Part of: Will SCOTUS rule for DHS on third-country deportations?

NoNo Price

99¢

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

Outcomes

Ends

Aug 1, 2028

in almost 2 years

Trade on Kalshi

Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Department of Homeland Security in Department of Homeland Security v. D.V.D.

99¢

Vol

$0.00

Outcomes

Trade

Yes0.7¢

No99.3¢

Price History

Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Department of Homeland Security in Department of Homeland Security v. D.V.D.

No historical data available

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Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

August 01, 2028

2:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

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Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

Resolution Criteria

If the Supreme Court, in Department of Homeland Security v. D.V.D., rules that the district court’s classwide declaratory relief and vacatur of DHS’s third-country removal Guidance cannot stand, then the market resolves to Yes. The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled, in Department of Homeland Security v. D.V.D., that the district court’s February 25, 2026 classwide declaratory relief and its vacatur under the Administrative Procedure Act of the Government’s Guidance on third-country removals cannot stand, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. A holding that the district court lacked jurisdiction over Respondents’ claims, that 8 U.S.C. § 1252(f)(1) barred that relief, that the Guidance is not unlawful under 8 U.S.C. § 1231(b), the Due Process Clause, or FARRA/CAT and its implementing regulations, or any other ground or combination of grounds, other than mootness, that leaves none of that relief in place resolves the market to Yes, whether or not the Court reaches the remaining questions. The market resolves to No if any of that relief remains in place after the Court’s ruling, including after an affirmance in whole or in part. If the case is dismissed as improvidently granted or held moot (including a vacatur of the judgments below because the case is moot), or is otherwise dismissed, remanded or disposed of without a holding that the relief cannot stand, the market resolves to No. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

659 Days Left

August 01, 2028 • 2:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Event Group

Will SCOTUS rule for DHS on third-country deportations?

Event

Will SCOTUS rule for DHS on third-country deportations?