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2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Yes41%

Vol$1.58M

Outcomes2

41%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Part of: Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

NoNo Price

60¢

VolTotal Volume

$1.58M

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 3, 2026

in 4 months

Trade on Polymarket

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

60¢

Vol

$1.58M

Outcomes

Trade

Yes40.5¢

No59.5¢

Price History

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

November 03, 2026

12:00 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Learn more

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the result of the 2026 United States midterm elections. A party will be considered to have 'control' of the House of Representatives, if they win a majority of voting seats. A party will be considered to have 'control' of the Senate if they have more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice President. A candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they most recently expressed their intent to caucus with at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. If control of the House is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Speaker of the US House who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections. If control of the Senate is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Majority Leader of the US Senate who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called winners of the House and Senate in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

111 Days Left

November 03, 2026 • 12:00 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Event Group

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Event

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms