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Will it snow in Chicago, IL by November 15?

Yes85%

Vol$684.78

Outcomes2

85%

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MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will it snow in Chicago, IL by November 15?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will it snow in Chicago, IL by November 15?

Part of: First snow of the 2026 season

YesYes Price

85¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$684.78

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Nov 19, 2026

in about 1 month

Trade on Polymarket

Will it snow in Chicago, IL by November 15?

Will it snow in Chicago, IL by November 15?

Yes

85¢

|

Vol

$684.78

|

Outcomes

2

Yes85.0¢

No15.0¢

Price History

Will it snow in Chicago, IL by November 15?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

37 Days Left

November 19, 2026 • 4:59 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

November 19, 2026

4:59 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chicago, IL records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Snowfall for Chicago, IL is measured only at station KORD, which the National Weather Service reports as "CHICAGO-OHARE" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count. Any amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of "T" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves "Yes" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves "No" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window. The observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KORD (midnight to midnight local time, America/Chicago). Resolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as "M") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves "Yes". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - "Yes" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or "No" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall. The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KORD, issued as product CLIORD. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIORD.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.