Yes21%-1.0%
Vol$27.63M
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Part of: Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?NoNo Price
80¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$27.63M
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
in 16 daysKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
No
80¢
|
Vol
$27.63M
|
Outcomes
2
Yes20.5¢
No79.5¢
Price History
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
January 31, 2026
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
15 Days Left
January 31, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago