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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 15?

Yes56%

Vol$10.34

Outcomes2

56%

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MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 15?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 15?

Part of: Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 15?

YesYes Price

56¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$10.34

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Oct 15, 2026

in 2 days

Trade on Polymarket

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 15?

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 15?

Yes

56¢

|

Vol

$10.34

|

Outcomes

2

Yes55.5¢

No44.5¢

Price History

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 15?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

2 Days Left

October 15, 2026 • 12:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 15?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 15?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

October 15, 2026

12:00 PM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions published after the Hong Kong Observatory's initial publication of data for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. That initial publication is the revisions cutoff. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.