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Will New Mexico have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Yes50%

Vol$0.00

Outcomes2

50%

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MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will New Mexico have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will New Mexico have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Part of: Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of October 13, 2026

YesYes Price

50¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Oct 15, 2026

in 3 days

Trade on Polymarket

Will New Mexico have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Will New Mexico have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Yes

50¢

|

Vol

$0.00

|

Outcomes

2

Yes50.0¢

No50.0¢

Price History

Will New Mexico have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

3 Days Left

October 15, 2026 • 1:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of October 13, 2026

Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of October 13, 2026

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

October 15, 2026

1:00 PM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if New Mexico has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". New Mexico carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid October 13, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no New Mexico market and make no claim about New Mexico's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.