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Will 3 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?

Yes4%-0.9%

Vol$103.62

Outcomes2

4%

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MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will 3 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?

Part of: How many Independents will be elected to Congress?

NoNo Price

96¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$103.62

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Nov 3, 2026

in 23 days

Trade on Polymarket

Will 3 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?

No

96¢

|

Vol

$103.62

|

Outcomes

2

Yes4.0¢

No96.0¢

Price History

Will 3 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

22 Days Left

November 03, 2026 • 11:59 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

How many Independents will be elected to Congress?

How many Independents will be elected to Congress?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

November 03, 2026

11:59 PM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of individuals elected in the midterm elections to the United States Senate and United States House of Representatives who are neither the nominee of nor have a ballot-listed affiliation with the Democratic or Republican parties. The Senate seat count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. The House seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a Senate or House seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat, even if it takes place after November 2026. Senate seats that are not up for election under these rules will not be considered. For seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party or lack of party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party or lack of party under which the member was elected. The caucus decisions of Senate and House members elected as independents will not be considered for purposes of this market. In the event that the results of one of the listed Senate races is not determinable by March 31, 2027, it will not be considered for purposes of this market. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.