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Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in the United States by August 31?

Yes0%

Vol$2.21K

Outcomes2

0%

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MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in the United States by August 31?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in the United States by August 31?

Part of: Where will a 6.0+ earthquake occur by end of August?

NoNo Price

100¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$2.21K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Sep 3, 2026

2 days ago

Trade on Polymarket

Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in the United States by August 31?

Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in the United States by August 31?

No

100¢

|

Vol

$2.21K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes0.1¢

No99.9¢

Price History

Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in the United States by August 31?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

Past Due

September 03, 2026 • 11:59 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Where will a 6.0+ earthquake occur by end of August?

Where will a 6.0+ earthquake occur by end of August?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

September 03, 2026

11:59 PM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves to "Yes" if the United States Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0+ attributed to the listed country, with an origin time between market creation and the end of the listed month (UTC), by the end of the third calendar day after the specified month (UTC). Otherwise, that market resolves "No". A qualifying earthquake must be counted for a country's market only if USGS attributes its location to that country (or its offshore territory) in the event's location description, lists the earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0 or higher, and lists it as occurring within the specified timeframe. Earthquakes without a preferred magnitude classification will not qualify. If an earthquake with an origin time within a market's window has not yet appeared on the resolution source by the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market end date may be extended for up to one week after the specified month and will resolve based on the first preferred magnitude, country attribution and timestamp of the event in question. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the extension period, this market will resolve based on the data released up until that point. Revisions to the underlying data, such as country attribution and preferred magnitude, will be considered until the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or until the end of an applicable extension period. Revisions made after the end of the third calendar day after the specified month or after the end of an applicable extension period will not be considered. The resolution source for this event is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program earthquake catalog (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/), and only data released by USGS will be considered, regardless of other sources. If the resolution source becomes temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it resumes; if it remains unavailable through the end of the third calendar day after the specified month, this market will resolve to "No."

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.