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Will August be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?

Yes1%+0.5%

Vol$618.12

Outcomes2

1%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will August be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?

Part of: Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?

NoNo Price

99¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$618.12

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Jan 9, 2027

in 3 months

Trade on Polymarket

Will August be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?

No

99¢

|

Vol

$618.12

|

Outcomes

2

Yes1.0¢

No99.0¢

Price History

Will August be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

89 Days Left

January 09, 2027 • 4:59 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?

Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

January 09, 2027

4:59 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the calendar month of 2026 with the highest total rainfall at Melbourne (Olympic Park), Bureau of Meteorology station number 086338. Monthly rainfall is the total of all daily rainfall observations for that month, each nominally recorded at 9 am local time for the preceding 24 hours, as published in the Bureau of Meteorology's Monthly rainfall table for station 086338. Rainfall is reported in millimetres to 1 decimal place, and that is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Each month will be resolved on the figure as first published. Revisions issued after first publication will not be considered. The totals already published for January through September 2026 are final for the purposes of this market, and August, at 66.0 mm, is the highest of them, so only the four listed months can finish as the wettest month of 2026. If two or more months tie for the highest total, this market will resolve to the earliest of the tied months. The resolution source for this market is the Bureau of Meteorology Monthly rainfall table for Melbourne (Olympic Park), available here: http://www.bom.gov.au/jsp/ncc/cdio/weatherData/av?p_nccObsCode=139&p_display_type=dataFile&p_stn_num=086338. If the figure for December 2026 is not available by January 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open for a period of up to three (3) calendar days (ET) to allow the figure to be published. If no figure is published within that period, the December market will resolve to "No", and this market will resolve according to the month with the highest published total among August, October and November.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.