Yes14%
Vol$6.28M
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Part of: Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?NoNo Price
87¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$6.28M
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
in 12 monthsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No
87¢
|
Vol
$6.28M
|
Outcomes
2
Yes13.5¢
No86.5¢
Price History
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
December 31, 2026
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
349 Days Left
December 31, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago