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Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?

Yes12%

Vol$647.35

Outcomes2

12%

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MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?

Part of: Core PCE MoM - September 2026

NoNo Price

88¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$647.35

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Oct 29, 2026

in 17 days

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Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?

No

88¢

|

Vol

$647.35

|

Outcomes

2

Yes12.0¢

No88.0¢

Price History

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

17 Days Left

October 29, 2026 • 1:30 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Core PCE MoM - September 2026

Core PCE MoM - September 2026

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

October 29, 2026

1:30 PM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending September 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for September 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on October 29, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.2%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure (the PCE price index excluding food and energy), not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure. If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.