
95¢
$97.23K
2
Mar 10, 2026
in 8 days
95¢
$97.23K
2
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreThis market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 versus the data points available for all other Februaries on record. Note: If February 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Alerts are stored locally in your browser
Get a browser notification when this market reaches its final outcome.
Notifications require browser permission and an open tab to receive