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Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?

Yes71%

Vol$2.89K

Outcomes2

71%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?

Part of: Best AI model on October 26?

YesYes Price

71¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$2.89K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Oct 27, 2026

in 13 days

Trade on Polymarket

Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?

Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?

Yes

71¢

|

Vol

$2.89K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes70.5¢

No29.5¢

Price History

Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

13 Days Left

October 27, 2026 • 3:59 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Best AI model on October 26?

Best AI model on October 26?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

October 27, 2026

3:59 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5.5-high” would be ranked ahead of “gemini-4-argon-high”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.