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Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?

Yes28%-14.5%

Vol$5.00K

Outcomes2

28%

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MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?

Part of: Longest GitHub critical incident in October?

NoNo Price

73¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$5.00K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Nov 1, 2026

in 20 days

Trade on Polymarket

Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?

Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?

No

73¢

|

Vol

$5.00K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes27.5¢

No72.5¢

Price History

Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

20 Days Left

November 01, 2026 • 3:59 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Longest GitHub critical incident in October?

Longest GitHub critical incident in October?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

November 01, 2026

3:59 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the duration of the longest qualifying incident that begins between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no qualifying incident begins during this period, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket (“<1 hour”). An incident will qualify if the official GitHub Status Page (githubstatus.com) or the official GitHub Status API (githubstatus.com/api) classifies the incident's impact as "critical," unless its affected components, once the incident is marked "Resolved," consist solely of Copilot and/or Copilot AI Model Providers. Incidents listing no affected components will qualify. GitHub classifies incident impact as None, Minor, Major, or Critical; only Critical will qualify. Component status labels (e.g. "Degraded Performance," "Partial Outage," or "Major Outage") will have no bearing on this market absent a qualifying critical incident. Revisions published after an incident is marked “Resolved” will not be considered. An incident's duration is the time between its official start timestamp and the time the incident is marked “Resolved,” as published by the GitHub Status Page or the GitHub Status API. An incident will be attributed to the month in which it begins, based on its official start timestamp converted to Eastern Time (ET); an incident that begins during the period and is resolved after the period ends will count in full. If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If an incident that began during the period remains unresolved at the end of the period, this market will remain open and resolve at the earlier of: (i) when the incident is officially resolved, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) after the end of the period, at which point the market will resolve based on the official information available at that time, with any unresolved incident's duration measured from its official start timestamp to that time. Incidents whose affected components, once the incident is marked "Resolved," consist solely of Copilot and/or Copilot AI Model Providers will not qualify. Scheduled maintenance will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official GitHub system-status information published at https://www.githubstatus.com/, including the official GitHub Status API (https://www.githubstatus.com/api); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.