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Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?

Yes1%-0.9%

Vol$265.12

Outcomes2

1%

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Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?

Part of: Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

NoNo Price

99¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$265.12

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Oct 25, 2026

in 14 days

Trade on Polymarket

Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?

No

99¢

|

Vol

$265.12

|

Outcomes

2

Yes0.9¢

No99.1¢

Price History

Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?

No historical data available

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Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

13 Days Left

October 25, 2026 • 11:59 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

October 25, 2026

11:59 PM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

The first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election is currently expected to be held on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the first round ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election as published by the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Централна избирателна комисия); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.