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Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 51.0 in October?

Yes1%

Vol$384.43

Outcomes2

1%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 51.0 in October?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 51.0 in October?

Part of: ISM Manufacturing PMI - October 2026

NoNo Price

99¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$384.43

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Nov 2, 2026

in 21 days

Trade on Polymarket

Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 51.0 in October?

Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 51.0 in October?

No

99¢

|

Vol

$384.43

|

Outcomes

2

Yes0.7¢

No99.3¢

Price History

Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 51.0 in October?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

20 Days Left

November 02, 2026 • 6:00 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

ISM Manufacturing PMI - October 2026

ISM Manufacturing PMI - October 2026

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

November 02, 2026

6:00 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for October 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for October 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business. The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for October 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on November 2, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets. Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.