Yes46%
Vol$4.83K
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?
Part of: What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?NoNo Price
55¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$4.83K
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Mar 2, 2026
less than a minute agoWill Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?
No
55¢
|
Vol
$4.83K
|
Outcomes
2
Yes45.5¢
No54.5¢
Price History
Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
March 02, 2026
12:35 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. or Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market. U.S. or Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
Resolves Today
March 02, 2026 • 12:35 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago