PPOLYMARKET
Will Kari Lake be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
Yes32%+11.8%
Vol$81.66
Outcomes2
Markets
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Will Kari Lake be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
NoNo Price
69¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$81.66
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Aug 4, 2026
in 7 monthsWill Kari Lake be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
No
69¢
|
Vol
$81.66
|
Outcomes
2
Yes31.5¢
No68.5¢
Price History
Will Kari Lake be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
August 04, 2026
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
200 Days Left
August 04, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago