Yes0%-0.5%
Vol$166.39K
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?
Part of: Will Khamenei leave Iran by...?NoNo Price
100¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$166.39K
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Jan 9, 2026
about 2 months agoWill Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?
No
100¢
|
Vol
$166.39K
|
Outcomes
2
Yes0.3¢
No99.8¢
Price History
Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
January 09, 2026
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Ali Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Ali Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Ali Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Ali Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
Past Due
January 09, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago