Yes11%
Vol$296.60
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Will Laurie MacKenzie advance from the CA-04 primary election?
Part of: CA-04 Primary WinnersNoNo Price
90¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$296.60
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Jun 2, 2026
in 3 monthsWill Laurie MacKenzie advance from the CA-04 primary election?
No
90¢
|
Vol
$296.60
|
Outcomes
2
Yes10.5¢
No89.5¢
Price History
Will Laurie MacKenzie advance from the CA-04 primary election?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
June 02, 2026
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
91 Days Left
June 02, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago