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Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax?

Yes42%-1.0%

Vol$5.26K

Outcomes2

42%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax?

Part of: What will be in the UK Budget?

NoNo Price

59¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$5.26K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Oct 29, 2026

in 17 days

Trade on Polymarket

Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax?

No

59¢

|

Vol

$5.26K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes41.5¢

No58.5¢

Price History

Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

17 Days Left

October 29, 2026 • 3:59 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

What will be in the UK Budget?

What will be in the UK Budget?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

October 29, 2026

3:59 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

The UK Autumn Budget 2026 is scheduled to be delivered to Parliament by Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows: - Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets. - Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home. - Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty. - CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax. A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count. For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase. If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.