Yes87%-5.5%
Vol$168.88
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Will there be at least 300 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?
Part of: Measles cases in U.S. by January 31?YesYes Price
87¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$168.88
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
in 14 daysWill there be at least 300 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?
Yes
87¢
|
Vol
$168.88
|
Outcomes
2
Yes86.5¢
No13.5¢
Price History
Will there be at least 300 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
January 31, 2026
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
14 Days Left
January 31, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago