Yes70%+4.0%
Vol$26.70K
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Part of: Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?YesYes Price
70¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$26.70K
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
in 10 monthsWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes
70¢
|
Vol
$26.70K
|
Outcomes
2
Yes69.5¢
No30.5¢
Price History
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
December 31, 2026
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
304 Days Left
December 31, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago