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Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?

Yes2%

Vol$3.53K

Outcomes2

2%

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MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?

Part of: # of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?

NoNo Price

98¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$3.53K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Nov 1, 2026

in 20 days

Trade on Polymarket

Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?

Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?

No

98¢

|

Vol

$3.53K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes1.7¢

No98.3¢

Price History

Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

20 Days Left

November 01, 2026 • 3:59 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

November 01, 2026

3:59 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the number of calendar days during the specified month (ET) on which OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage'. ChatGPT will be considered to have experienced a qualifying incident on a given day if the OpenAI Status Page for ChatGPT (status.openai.com) displays that day’s status box as a shade of red indicating Partial/Full Outage once all qualifying day’s status boxes are finalized. (green indicates "No incidents", yellow indicates "Degraded performance"). Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box is added on the Status Page. This market will remain open until all qualifying day’s status boxes are finalized. Revisions that change an incident’s impact classification to or from 'Partial/Full Outage' will be considered if the revision is published within this market’s timeframe. This market will resolve once all relevant days are finalized, provided no incident that began during the specified timeframe is ongoing. In case of an ongoing incident the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If the incident in question is not resolved or all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified timeframe, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.