Yes89%-0.5%
Vol$1.05M
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
Part of: How many people will Trump deport in 2025?YesYes Price
89¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$1.05M
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
15 days agoWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
Yes
89¢
|
Vol
$1.05M
|
Outcomes
2
Yes88.6¢
No11.4¢
Price History
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
December 31, 2025
12:00 PM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes between 250,000 (inclusive) and 500,000 (exclusive) non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
Past Due
December 31, 2025 • 12:00 PM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago