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Will Trump endorse Ronaldo Caiado for President of Brazil?

Yes3%-0.7%

Vol$284.68

Outcomes2

3%

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MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will Trump endorse Ronaldo Caiado for President of Brazil?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will Trump endorse Ronaldo Caiado for President of Brazil?

Part of: Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?

NoNo Price

97¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$284.68

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Oct 26, 2026

in about 2 months

Trade on Polymarket

Will Trump endorse Ronaldo Caiado for President of Brazil?

Will Trump endorse Ronaldo Caiado for President of Brazil?

No

97¢

|

Vol

$284.68

|

Outcomes

2

Yes3.1¢

No96.9¢

Price History

Will Trump endorse Ronaldo Caiado for President of Brazil?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

50 Days Left

October 26, 2026 • 2:59 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?

Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

October 26, 2026

2:59 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the first individual that Donald Trump endorses for President of Brazil in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An endorsement is defined as a statement by Donald Trump that i) is made publicly (e.g., through a press release, an on-the-record interview, a speech, a campaign event, a post from a verified account on social media); ii) explicitly and unambiguously expresses unique support for an individual as a candidate for President of Brazil in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections; and iii) is characterized by a consensus of credible reporting as an official endorsement by Donald Trump of the individual for President in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An endorsement of an individual for any party’s nomination to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections will not qualify. The following will not be considered endorsements: positive or favorable comments about a candidate without a clear public statement of direct support; conditional statements giving support only if certain conditions are met; statements equally expressing support for multiple candidates (e.g., “I support Flavio and Lula”); statements expressing opposition to a candidate without endorsing any candidate; private or non-public statements; and statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support. An endorsement of a ticket comprising a presidential candidate and a vice-presidential candidate constitutes a qualifying endorsement only of the individual endorsed for President. If the endorsement is of a ticket with undefined presidential and vice-presidential roles, or the roles on an endorsed ticket cannot be determined by the statement itself or a consensus of credible reporting, no qualifying endorsement will be deemed to have occurred. If Donald Trump issues multiple concurrent statements meeting this standard, directed at different individuals, this will not constitute a qualifying endorsement and this market will remain open and resolve based on the first standalone qualifying endorsement issued. Endorsements will be considered to be issued concurrently only if they are issued in the same written statement (e.g., a public social media post), or in a singular public speaking event (e.g., a press conference, a speech). Endorsements via social media count only from verified accounts controlled by Donald Trump. Likes, reposts, or shares alone do not constitute a qualifying endorsement. Once a qualifying endorsement has occurred, subsequent retractions, rescissions, or endorsements of other individuals will not affect the determination of the first individual endorsed. If Donald Trump does not issue any qualifying endorsements by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.