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Will Trump's approval rating be less than 36.8 on October 16, 2026?

Yes8%

Vol$305.77

Outcomes2

8%

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Will Trump's approval rating be less than 36.8 on October 16, 2026?

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Will Trump's approval rating be less than 36.8 on October 16, 2026?

Part of: Trump approval rating on October 16?

NoNo Price

93¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$305.77

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Oct 17, 2026

in 4 days

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Will Trump's approval rating be less than 36.8 on October 16, 2026?

Will Trump's approval rating be less than 36.8 on October 16, 2026?

No

93¢

|

Vol

$305.77

|

Outcomes

2

Yes7.5¢

No92.5¢

Price History

Will Trump's approval rating be less than 36.8 on October 16, 2026?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

3 Days Left

October 17, 2026 • 3:59 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Trump approval rating on October 16?

Trump approval rating on October 16?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

October 17, 2026

3:59 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to Donald Trump's approval rating as reported by RealClearPolling at 5:00 PM ET on October 16, 2026. This market's resolution source will be RealClearPolling's presidential job approval poll average, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" as displayed at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date. Any updates or revisions to the RCP Average published after this time will not be considered, except for corrections of data integrity issues as described below. Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolling calculates its average will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where RealClearPolling differs from alternative sources. If the RCP Average is unavailable at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date, this market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the resolution date. If the RCP Average has not been updated by then, the most recent RCP Average published prior to 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.