BackPPOLYMARKET

Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by less than 2%?

Yes6%-0.4%

Vol$771.52

Outcomes2

6%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by less than 2%?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by less than 2%?

Part of: Serbia Parliamentary Election Vote Share Margin of Victory

NoNo Price

94¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$771.52

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Oct 25, 2026

in 14 days

Trade on Polymarket

Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by less than 2%?

Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by less than 2%?

No

94¢

|

Vol

$771.52

|

Outcomes

2

Yes5.5¢

No94.5¢

Price History

Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by less than 2%?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

13 Days Left

October 25, 2026 • 11:59 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Serbia Parliamentary Election Vote Share Margin of Victory

Serbia Parliamentary Election Vote Share Margin of Victory

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

October 25, 2026

11:59 PM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two electoral lists in the specified election. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place electoral lists. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two lists receives by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia attributes them to the named electoral list. Vote percentages attributed to other lists or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If a list other than Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia or Student List – Students Win receives the most valid votes, this market will resolve to “Another list wins”. If two or more lists tie for the most valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Another list wins”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.