Which bloc will win a Knesset majority?

On Oct 27, 2026 If the bloc X has won at least 61 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes. X seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subse