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Will neither the bloc of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu nor the bloc of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas win at least 61 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Yes1%

Vol$0.00

Outcomes2

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Will neither the bloc of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu nor the bloc of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas win at least 61 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Part of: Which bloc will win a Knesset majority?

NoNo Price

99¢

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

Outcomes

Ends

Oct 27, 2027

in about 1 year

Trade on Kalshi

Will neither the bloc of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu nor the bloc of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas win at least 61 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

99¢

Vol

$0.00

Outcomes

Trade

Yes0.8¢

No99.2¢

Price History

Will neither the bloc of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu nor the bloc of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas win at least 61 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

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Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

October 27, 2027

2:00 PM GMT+0

Official Sources

Markets are resolved using official government and institutional sources.

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Accuracy

100%

Resolved

8,750

Avg Time

< 24 hours

Disputes

Resolution Criteria

If neither the bloc of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu nor the bloc of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas has won at least 61 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes. A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature. Each bloc's seat total is the combined number of seats won by the lists named for it, including all seats won by a named joint list. Seats won by any other list count toward neither bloc, and surplus-vote agreements and post-election coalitions do not change either bloc's total. The None market resolves Yes if each bloc's seat total is 60 or fewer and No if either bloc's total is 61 or more; it does not measure the seats won by lists outside both blocs. Amcha Yisrael means the list led by Ofer Winter, also reported as People of Israel. This market will close and expire early if all seats have been called and additional recounts/by-elections will not affect the market outcome.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

380 Days Left

October 27, 2027 • 2:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Event Group

Which bloc will win a Knesset majority?

Event

Which bloc will win a Knesset majority?