What is the current price for "Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 99.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?"?

There are 13 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

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Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Yes21%

Vol$0.00

Markets13

21%

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Single EventKALSHIElections

Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Name: Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?
Start: 2026-07-10T08:27:40.995Z
End: 2026-08-09T08:27:40.995Z

Part of: Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

On Aug 4, 2026 If the margin of victory X 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary falls within Y to Z inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received X minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Y if Y wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Y loses. Fo

YesLeading Yes Probability

21%

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Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Yes

21%

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Market Price Graph

13 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 0% and 3%?

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All Markets(13)

Market	Price
Will the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 0% and 3%?	21%
Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 3% and 6%?	16%
Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 6% and 9%?	14%
Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 9% and 12%?	14%
Will the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 3% and 6%?	11%

Markets (13)

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Will the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 0% and 3%?

If the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin t

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 3% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 6% and 9%?

If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 9% and 12%?

If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin

Will the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 3% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin t

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be above 15%?

If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the marg

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 0% and 3%?

If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 12% and 15%?

If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margi

Will the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 9% and 12%?

If the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin

Will the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 6% and 9%?

If the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin t

Will the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 12% and 15%?

If the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin

Will the margin of victory for Mallory McMorrow in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be above 0%?

If the margin of victory for Mallory McMorrow in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the mar

Will the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be above 15%?

If the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margi

Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Market Price Graph

Will the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 0% and 3%?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Markets (13)

Will the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 0% and 3%?

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 3% and 6%?

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 6% and 9%?

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 9% and 12%?

Will the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 3% and 6%?

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be above 15%?

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 0% and 3%?

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 12% and 15%?

Will the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 9% and 12%?

Will the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 6% and 9%?

Will the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 12% and 15%?

Will the margin of victory for Mallory McMorrow in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be above 0%?

Will the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be above 15%?

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