What is the current price for "Margin of victory in the KY-04 Republican primary?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 77.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "Margin of victory in the KY-04 Republican primary?"?

There are 10 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Margin of victory in the KY-04 Republican primary?"?

Trading volume data is not currently available.

Margin of victory in the KY-04 Republican primary?

Name: Margin of victory in the KY-04 Republican primary?
Start: 2026-04-17T19:04:56.139Z
End: 2026-05-17T19:04:56.139Z

Market Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 0% and 5%?

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All Markets(10)

Market	Price
Will the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 0% and 5%?	33%
Will the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 5% and 10%?	23%
Will the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 0% and 5%?	16%
Will the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 10% and 15%?	12%
Will the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 15% and 20%?	11%

Markets (10)

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Will the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 0% and 5%?

If the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For

Will the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 5% and 10%?

If the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary falls within 5% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For

Will the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 0% and 5%?

If the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For pe

Will the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 10% and 15%?

If the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary falls within 10% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. Fo

Will the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 15% and 20%?

If the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary falls within 15% to 20%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. Fo

Will the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 5% and 10%?

If the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary falls within 5% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For p

Will the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above 20%?

If the margin of victory for Thomas Massie in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary falls within 20% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. F

Will the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 10% and 15%?

If the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary falls within 10% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For

Will the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be above 20%?

If the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary falls within 20% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For

Will the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary be between 15% and 20%?

If the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary falls within 15% to 20%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For