What is the current price for "What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 100.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?"?

There are 5 markets available for this event on Polymarket.

What is the trading volume for "What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?"?

Total trading volume is approximately $24K.

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What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

Yes69%

Vol$24.05K

Markets5

69%

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Event Group

EventPOLYMARKET

Single EventPOLYMARKETClimate

What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

Name: What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?
Start: 2026-09-05T23:27:19.469Z
End: 2027-04-01T03:59:00.000Z

Part of: What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

This market resolves based on the peak RONI — the single highest Regional Ocean Niño Index (RONI) value reported by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) across the overlapping three-month seasons ASO 2026, SON 2026, OND 2026, NDJ 2026-27, and DJF 2026-27, as published in official NOAA CPC RONI updates (https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso/roni/). See each individual market for its bracket and full resolution terms. This market may resolve immediately once NOAA has p

YesLeading Yes Probability

69%

VolTotal Volume

$24.05K

Markets

Ends

Apr 1, 2027

in 7 months

Trade on Polymarket

What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

Yes

69%

Vol

$24.05K

Markets

Trade

Market Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?

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No data available

All Markets(5)

Market	Price
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	69%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	28%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25?	5%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0?	1%
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be below 1.5?	0%

Markets (5)

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POLYMARKETClimate

Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?

This market resolves "Yes" if the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño is +2.5°C or above. Otherwise, it resolves "No". This market resolves "Yes" as soon as NOAA publishes a RONI value of +2.5°C or above for any listed season. If no listed season reaches +2.5°C, this market resolves "No" once NOAA has

Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?

This market resolves "Yes" if the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño is at least +2.25°C and below +2.5°C. Otherwise, it resolves "No". The peak RONI is the single highest Regional Ocean Niño Index (RONI) value reported by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) across the overlapping three-month sea

Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25?

This market resolves "Yes" if the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño is at least +2.0°C and below +2.25°C. Otherwise, it resolves "No". The peak RONI is the single highest Regional Ocean Niño Index (RONI) value reported by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) across the overlapping three-month sea

Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 1.5 but below 2.0?

This market resolves "Yes" if the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño is at least +1.5°C and below +2.0°C. Otherwise, it resolves "No". The peak RONI is the single highest Regional Ocean Niño Index (RONI) value reported by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) across the overlapping three-month seas

Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be below 1.5?

This market resolves "Yes" if the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño is below +1.5°C. Otherwise, it resolves "No". The peak RONI is the single highest Regional Ocean Niño Index (RONI) value reported by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) across the overlapping three-month seasons ASO 2026, SON 20