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Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner

Name: MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner
End: 2026-11-12T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$26.76K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner

Vol

$26.76K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $26.76K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $26.76K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

23 markets tracked

Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(23)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Poly	31%
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Poly	18%
Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Poly	14%
Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Poly	9%
Will Chris Sale win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Poly	8%
Will Mason Miller win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Poly	4%
Will Hunter Greene win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Poly	2%
Will Tyler Glasnow win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Poly	2%
Will Blake Snell win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Poly	2%
Will Michael King win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Poly	2%
Will Jesus Luzardo win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Poly	2%
Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Poly	2%
Will Nolan McLean win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Poly	1%
Will Zack Wheeler win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Poly	1%
Will Brandon Woodruff win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Poly	1%
Will Logan Webb win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Poly	1%
Will Eury Perez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Poly	1%
Will Freddy Peralta win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Poly	0%
Will Spencer Strider win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Poly	0%
Will Spencer Schwellenbach win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Poly	0%
Will Nick Pivetta win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Poly	0%
Will Mitch Keller win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Poly	0%
Will Nick Lodolo win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

31%

Top Probability

$26.76K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resol

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, August 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 12, 2026 (91 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resol

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $26.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $56.9K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.47)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $7.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Chris Sale win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $868
  DATA: [Yes: 7.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.3% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Hunter Greene win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $541
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Blake Snell win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $644
  DATA: [Yes: 2.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Logan Webb win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $703
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Zack Wheeler win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $791
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Spencer Strider win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $394
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Spencer Schwellenbach win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $444
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 18.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Brandon Woodruff win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $545
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Freddy Peralta win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Jesus Luzardo win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $702
  DATA: [Yes: 2.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $762
  DATA: [Yes: 1.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.1% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Nolan McLean win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Tyler Glasnow win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $704
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Michael King win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $594
  DATA: [Yes: 2.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Nick Pivetta win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $724
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Nick Lodolo win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $351
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Eury Perez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $695
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Mitch Keller win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $562
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Mason Miller win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $645
  DATA: [Yes: 4.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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