Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027

Total Volume

$33.29K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027

Vol

$33.29K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $33.29K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $33.29K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $750?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $750?	Kalshi	84%
Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,000?	Kalshi	72%
Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,250?	Kalshi	49%
Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,500?	Kalshi	31%
Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,750?	Kalshi	16%

AI Analysis

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84%

Top Probability

$33.29K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2027 If the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the 2027 Permanent Fund Dividend amount per eligible recipient published by the State of Alaska. If the state officially includes an energy-relief or similar payment in the reported PFD amount, that amount is included; separately reported payments not included in the official PFD amount are excluded. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is rel

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2027

If the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the 2027 Permanent Fund Dividend amount per eligible recipient published by the State of Alaska. If the state officially includes an energy-relief or similar payment in the reported PFD amount, that amount is included; separately reported payments not included in the official PFD amount are excluded. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is rel

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 is above 

$750, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 2027 Permanent Fund Dividend amount per eligible recipient published by the State of Alaska. If the state officially includes an energy-relief or si"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $33.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $750?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 27, 2027): Vol $11.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 83.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,750?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 27, 2027): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,500?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 27, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,250?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 27, 2027): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 27, 2027): Vol $14.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 71.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 28.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027

Volume$33.29K

Markets5

5 of 5

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KALSHI

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $750?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 83.5¢No 16.5¢

KALSHICompanies

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $750?

If the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 is above $750, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 2027 Permanent Fund Dividend amount per eligible recipient published by the State of Alaska. If the state officially includes an energy-relief or si

KALSHI

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 71.5¢No 28.5¢

KALSHICompanies

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,000?

If the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 is above $1,000, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 2027 Permanent Fund Dividend amount per eligible recipient published by the State of Alaska. If the state officially includes an energy-relief or si

KALSHI

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,250?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 48.5¢No 51.5¢

KALSHICompanies

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,250?

If the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 is above $1,250, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 2027 Permanent Fund Dividend amount per eligible recipient published by the State of Alaska. If the state officially includes an energy-relief or si

KALSHI

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,500?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 30.5¢No 69.5¢

KALSHICompanies

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,500?

If the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 is above $1,500, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 2027 Permanent Fund Dividend amount per eligible recipient published by the State of Alaska. If the state officially includes an energy-relief or si

KALSHI

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,750?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.5¢No 84.5¢

KALSHICompanies

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,750?

If the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 is above $1,750, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 2027 Permanent Fund Dividend amount per eligible recipient published by the State of Alaska. If the state officially includes an energy-relief or si

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50¢

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Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027

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Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $750?

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Events (1)

Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027

Markets (5)

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $750?

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $750?

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,000?

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,000?

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,250?

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,250?

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,500?

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,500?

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,750?

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,750?

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Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $750?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $750?

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $750?

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,000?

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,000?

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,250?

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,250?

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,500?

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,500?

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,750?

Will the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 be above $1,750?

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